The Bear, the Dragon, or the Eagle – Who Will Win in Sudan?

CSAG INFORMATION PAPER By: LTC Hany Mohamed, EGY Army (CSAG/CCJ5); LTC Rene Berendsen, NLD Army (CSAG/CCJ5); and LCDR Stipe Skelin, CRO Navy (CSAG/CCJ5)   20 April 2023 Subject: Analysis of the current situation in Sudan. Purpose: To present the results of the CSAG’s analysis regarding the on-going situation in Sudan. Read the complete paper here. Read More >

Hezbollah’s “Financial Pyramid”

CSAG INFORMATION PAPER By: LCDR Stipe Skelin, HRV Navy (CSAG/CCJ5); LTC Rene Berendsen, NLD Army (CSAG/CCJ5); LTC Richard Pecinka, CZE AF (CSAG/CCJ5); and MAJ Mihai-Florin Girboan, ROU Army (CSAG/CCJ5) 6 April 2023 Subject: Hezbollah’s “Financial Pyramid” Purpose: This paper is the third in a series about Hezbollah. The aim is to present the results of Read More >

China’s Approach to the Red Sea States

CSAG INFORMATION PAPER By: MAJ Ibrahim Elveren, TUR Army (CSAG/CCJ5) and LTC Almaz Mukashev, KAZ Army (CSAG/CCJ5) 6 April 2023 Subject: China’s Approach to the Red Sea States. Purpose: This paper aims to present the results of the CSAG’s analysis of China’s Approach to the Red Sea States, including the “5-No Approach” to the African Read More >

Türkiye’s Role in the USCENTCOM AOR

CSAG STRATEGY PAPER By: LTC Jussi Puustinen, FIN Army, CSAG CCJ5 06 March  2023   Overview: Türkiye has quite a unique position in many perspectives e.g., geographically, geopolitically and geoeconomically. It lies at the intersection of Europe, the Middle East and Central Asia (and Africa) with ties to all of them; it has a land Read More >

The Red Sea – Neglected Nexus

CSAG INFORMATION PAPER By: CDR Hubert Mróz, POL (CSAG/CCJ5) and MAJ Essa Almansoori, UAE (CSAG/CCJ5) 1 March 2023 Subject: The Red Sea – Neglected Nexus. Purpose: This paper presents CSAG’s perspective on the current challenges in the Red Sea region. It focuses on the long-lasting phenomenon of regional stability and provides arguments on the possibility Read More >

The Role of Regional Powers in the Contemporary Complex Geo-Political Environment

CSAG STRATEGY PAPER By: LTC Kashif Ehtisham, Pakistan Army, CSAG CCJ5 24 February 2023   Overview: Since the late 20th century, the term ‘regional power’ in international relations has been used for a sovereign state that exercises significant power within a given geographical region. There is a broad consensus that a necessary condition for regional Read More >

The Earthquake: Catalyst for Dynamic Change in Syria

CSAG INFORMATION PAPER By: Richard Pecinka, LTC, CZE AF (CSAG/CCJ5), Rene Berendsen, LTC, NLD Army (CSAG/CCJ5), Hubert Mroz, CDR, POL Navy (CSAG/CCJ5) 16 February 2023 Subject: The Earthquake: Catalyst for dynamic change in Syria. Purpose: This paper presents CSAG’s summary analysis of the geopolitical and military evolution of the main actors in Syria following the Read More >

Hezbollah – IRGC Main Coordinating Tool in Middle East

CSAG INFORMATION PAPER By: Stipe Skelin, LCDR, HRV Navy (CSAG/CCJ5), Richard Pecinka, LTC, CZE AF (CSAG/CCJ5), Mihai-Florin Girboan, MAJ, ROU Army (CSAG/CCJ5) 16 February 2023 Subject: Hezbollah – IRGC’s main coordinating tool in the Middle East. Purpose: This paper aims to present the results of the CSAG’s analysis of Hezbollah as the main coordinator for Read More >

Threat Potential of ISIS in the CENTCOM AOR

CSAG INFORMATION PAPER By: Kashif Ehtisham, Lt Col, Pakistan Army (CSAG/CCJ5) 03 February 2023 Subject: Analysis of the threat potential of the Islamic State of Iraq and Syria (ISIS) in the CENTCOM AOR. Purpose: The aim of this paper is to present the CSAG’s analysis of the ‘threat from ISIS’ within CENTCOM AOR to formulate Read More >

How Iran is Benefiting from Strategic Competition

CSAG INFORMATION PAPER By: René Berendsen, LTC, Royal Netherlands Army (CSAG/CCJ5), Hany Mohamed, LTC, Egyptian Army (CSAG/CCJ5), and Ibrahim Elveren, MAJ, Turkish Army (CSAG/CCJ5) 03 February 2023 Subject: How Iran is benefiting from the concept of Strategic Competition. Purpose: To present the results of the CSAG’s analysis of Iran’s position within the U.S. concept of Read More >